Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast ensembles for Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 6, with the China Meteorological Administration's latest bulletin—issued April 3 evening—projecting a 27°C high under cloudy skies following rain-cooled days on April 4 (25°C) and 5 (26°C). Diverging signals from global models like ECMWF aggregates suggest up to 29°C potential amid isolated thunderstorms and overcast conditions, differentiated by persistent low-level cloud cover limiting solar insolation, moderating southerly sea breezes, and urban heat effects at the airport site. April climatology favors 26–27°C highs amid subtropical humidity; fresh GFS and CMA updates through April 5 could tip the balance before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 6?
27°C 27%
28°C 25%
29°C 25%
30°C 10%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
7%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
4%
27°C 27%
28°C 25%
29°C 25%
30°C 10%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
7%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast ensembles for Shenzhen's highest temperature at Bao'an International Airport on April 6, with the China Meteorological Administration's latest bulletin—issued April 3 evening—projecting a 27°C high under cloudy skies following rain-cooled days on April 4 (25°C) and 5 (26°C). Diverging signals from global models like ECMWF aggregates suggest up to 29°C potential amid isolated thunderstorms and overcast conditions, differentiated by persistent low-level cloud cover limiting solar insolation, moderating southerly sea breezes, and urban heat effects at the airport site. April climatology favors 26–27°C highs amid subtropical humidity; fresh GFS and CMA updates through April 5 could tip the balance before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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