Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 26–28°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 5, mirroring early-April climatological norms in the city's humid subtropical monsoon climate, where daily maximums typically rise from 24–25°C to 26–27°C amid increasing solar insolation and occasional sea breezes. Recent observational data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution station—shows late-March highs near 27°C, sustaining mild warmth into early April without extreme anomalies, while forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate low confidence in exact peaks due to variable cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat island effects that could nudge outcomes up or down by 1–2°C. Watch for daily forecast updates through April 4, as ensemble model runs refine intensity amid typical springtime instability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 5?
27°C 27%
28°C 24%
26°C 20%
29°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
5 abr 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
13%
26°C
20%
27°C
27%
28°C
24%
29°C
14%
30°C or higher
8%
27°C 27%
28°C 24%
26°C 20%
29°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
5 abr 2026
20°C or below
$872 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$845 Vol.
1%
22°C
$613 Vol.
1%
23°C
$448 Vol.
2%
24°C
$204 Vol.
5%
25°C
$260 Vol.
13%
26°C
$267 Vol.
20%
27°C
$298 Vol.
27%
28°C
$285 Vol.
24%
29°C
$256 Vol.
14%
30°C or higher
$414 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 26–28°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 5, mirroring early-April climatological norms in the city's humid subtropical monsoon climate, where daily maximums typically rise from 24–25°C to 26–27°C amid increasing solar insolation and occasional sea breezes. Recent observational data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution station—shows late-March highs near 27°C, sustaining mild warmth into early April without extreme anomalies, while forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate low confidence in exact peaks due to variable cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat island effects that could nudge outcomes up or down by 1–2°C. Watch for daily forecast updates through April 4, as ensemble model runs refine intensity amid typical springtime instability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ET
Volume
$4,748Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 26–28°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 5, mirroring early-April climatological norms in the city's humid subtropical monsoon climate, where daily maximums typically rise from 24–25°C to 26–27°C amid increasing solar insolation and occasional sea breezes. Recent observational data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution station—shows late-March highs near 27°C, sustaining mild warmth into early April without extreme anomalies, while forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate low confidence in exact peaks due to variable cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat island effects that could nudge outcomes up or down by 1–2°C. Watch for daily forecast updates through April 4, as ensemble model runs refine intensity amid typical springtime instability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,748Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 26–28°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 5, mirroring early-April climatological norms in the city's humid subtropical monsoon climate, where daily maximums typically rise from 24–25°C to 26–27°C amid increasing solar insolation and occasional sea breezes. Recent observational data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution station—shows late-March highs near 27°C, sustaining mild warmth into early April without extreme anomalies, while forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate low confidence in exact peaks due to variable cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat island effects that could nudge outcomes up or down by 1–2°C. Watch for daily forecast updates through April 4, as ensemble model runs refine intensity amid typical springtime instability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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