Central Weather Administration's latest forecast, issued April 4, projects a daytime high of 26°C in Taipei on April 6 under cloudy conditions with occasional showers or thunderstorms, as a frontal system lingers from the Tomb-Sweeping holiday period, capping solar insolation despite rebounding temperatures. Trader consensus, with market-implied odds tightly clustered at 24.5% for 28°C, 23.5% for 26°C, and 22% for 27°C, reflects uncertainty in model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF over cloud persistence and front exit timing—faster clearing could boost peaks via enhanced heating, while prolonged moisture favors lower outcomes near early April climatological norms of 25°C. Watch CWA's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 6?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 6?
28°C 22%
27°C 22%
26°C 18%
25°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
6 abr 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
14%
26°C
18%
27°C
22%
28°C
22%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
11%
28°C 22%
27°C 22%
26°C 18%
25°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
6 abr 2026
20°C or below
$363 Vol.
1%
21°C
$642 Vol.
2%
22°C
$304 Vol.
5%
23°C
$83 Vol.
3%
24°C
$35 Vol.
8%
25°C
$77 Vol.
14%
26°C
$87 Vol.
18%
27°C
$24 Vol.
22%
28°C
$32 Vol.
22%
29°C
$25 Vol.
11%
30°C or higher
$276 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration's latest forecast, issued April 4, projects a daytime high of 26°C in Taipei on April 6 under cloudy conditions with occasional showers or thunderstorms, as a frontal system lingers from the Tomb-Sweeping holiday period, capping solar insolation despite rebounding temperatures. Trader consensus, with market-implied odds tightly clustered at 24.5% for 28°C, 23.5% for 26°C, and 22% for 27°C, reflects uncertainty in model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF over cloud persistence and front exit timing—faster clearing could boost peaks via enhanced heating, while prolonged moisture favors lower outcomes near early April climatological norms of 25°C. Watch CWA's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Volume
$1,949Data de Término
6 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:14 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration's latest forecast, issued April 4, projects a daytime high of 26°C in Taipei on April 6 under cloudy conditions with occasional showers or thunderstorms, as a frontal system lingers from the Tomb-Sweeping holiday period, capping solar insolation despite rebounding temperatures. Trader consensus, with market-implied odds tightly clustered at 24.5% for 28°C, 23.5% for 26°C, and 22% for 27°C, reflects uncertainty in model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF over cloud persistence and front exit timing—faster clearing could boost peaks via enhanced heating, while prolonged moisture favors lower outcomes near early April climatological norms of 25°C. Watch CWA's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,949Data de Término
6 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:14 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Central Weather Administration's latest forecast, issued April 4, projects a daytime high of 26°C in Taipei on April 6 under cloudy conditions with occasional showers or thunderstorms, as a frontal system lingers from the Tomb-Sweeping holiday period, capping solar insolation despite rebounding temperatures. Trader consensus, with market-implied odds tightly clustered at 24.5% for 28°C, 23.5% for 26°C, and 22% for 27°C, reflects uncertainty in model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF over cloud persistence and front exit timing—faster clearing could boost peaks via enhanced heating, while prolonged moisture favors lower outcomes near early April climatological norms of 25°C. Watch CWA's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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