Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts place Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22-23°C, driving the tight trader consensus with those outcomes tied at equal market-implied probabilities amid partly cloudy to overcast conditions from a persistent subtropical ridge. Recent observations confirm this mild pattern, including a 23°C high at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on April 2 under cloudy skies, matching current forecasts of 22°C today (April 4) and 25°C tomorrow before cooling slightly. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover thickness—thicker overcast favors 22°C via reduced insolation, while brief breaks or lighter southerly winds could push to 23°C—plus urban heat effects at the resolution station. New 12z model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours may refine this uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
23°C 25%
22°C 24%
24°C 16%
25°C 13%
$20,579 Vol.
$20,579 Vol.
6 abr 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
24%
23°C
25%
24°C
16%
25°C
13%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
5%
23°C 25%
22°C 24%
24°C 16%
25°C 13%
$20,579 Vol.
$20,579 Vol.
6 abr 2026
17°C or below
$3,760 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,051 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,178 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,132 Vol.
3%
21°C
$1,772 Vol.
9%
22°C
$1,462 Vol.
24%
23°C
$1,361 Vol.
25%
24°C
$2,270 Vol.
16%
25°C
$835 Vol.
13%
26°C
$1,846 Vol.
8%
27°C or higher
$3,916 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts place Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22-23°C, driving the tight trader consensus with those outcomes tied at equal market-implied probabilities amid partly cloudy to overcast conditions from a persistent subtropical ridge. Recent observations confirm this mild pattern, including a 23°C high at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on April 2 under cloudy skies, matching current forecasts of 22°C today (April 4) and 25°C tomorrow before cooling slightly. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover thickness—thicker overcast favors 22°C via reduced insolation, while brief breaks or lighter southerly winds could push to 23°C—plus urban heat effects at the resolution station. New 12z model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours may refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volume
$20,579Data de Término
6 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts place Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22-23°C, driving the tight trader consensus with those outcomes tied at equal market-implied probabilities amid partly cloudy to overcast conditions from a persistent subtropical ridge. Recent observations confirm this mild pattern, including a 23°C high at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on April 2 under cloudy skies, matching current forecasts of 22°C today (April 4) and 25°C tomorrow before cooling slightly. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover thickness—thicker overcast favors 22°C via reduced insolation, while brief breaks or lighter southerly winds could push to 23°C—plus urban heat effects at the resolution station. New 12z model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours may refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,579Data de Término
6 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts place Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22-23°C, driving the tight trader consensus with those outcomes tied at equal market-implied probabilities amid partly cloudy to overcast conditions from a persistent subtropical ridge. Recent observations confirm this mild pattern, including a 23°C high at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on April 2 under cloudy skies, matching current forecasts of 22°C today (April 4) and 25°C tomorrow before cooling slightly. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover thickness—thicker overcast favors 22°C via reduced insolation, while brief breaks or lighter southerly winds could push to 23°C—plus urban heat effects at the resolution station. New 12z model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours may refine this uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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