Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (31.5%) and 24°C (29.0%) as Wuhan's highest temperature on April 4 at Tianhe International Airport, driven by closely aligned short-range forecasts from authoritative sources amid spring warming trends. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 23°C peak under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, while BBC Weather eyes 25°C assuming sunnier intervals and Weather Underground implies 24°C; these divergences stem from model variations in cloud cover timing and boundary layer stability, key factors capping diurnal highs in early April when historical averages hover around 19–22°C. Recent mild days—April 2–3 highs near 22°C—reinforce the low- to mid-20s cluster, with resolution hinging on official observations by evening local time as uncertainties in insolation and mixing resolve.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 4?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 4?
23°C 33%
24°C 31%
25°C 17%
22°C 16.4%
$12,491 Vol.
$12,491 Vol.
21°C or below
3%
22°C
16%
23°C
33%
24°C
31%
25°C
17%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 33%
24°C 31%
25°C 17%
22°C 16.4%
$12,491 Vol.
$12,491 Vol.
21°C or below
3%
22°C
16%
23°C
33%
24°C
31%
25°C
17%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (31.5%) and 24°C (29.0%) as Wuhan's highest temperature on April 4 at Tianhe International Airport, driven by closely aligned short-range forecasts from authoritative sources amid spring warming trends. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 23°C peak under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, while BBC Weather eyes 25°C assuming sunnier intervals and Weather Underground implies 24°C; these divergences stem from model variations in cloud cover timing and boundary layer stability, key factors capping diurnal highs in early April when historical averages hover around 19–22°C. Recent mild days—April 2–3 highs near 22°C—reinforce the low- to mid-20s cluster, with resolution hinging on official observations by evening local time as uncertainties in insolation and mixing resolve.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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