Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 14°C high in Munich at 83.5% implied probability, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from DWD's ICON model, ECMWF, and GFS, which project daily maxima clustering at 11–14°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Europe. Current observations at Munich Airport station show midday temperatures around 11°C with westerly winds at 13 km/h and low humidity (46%), conditions conducive to late-afternoon peak heating toward 14°C amid mostly clear skies. This aligns with early-April climatology averaging 11–13°C highs, while the 17.8% on 15°C or higher reflects modest upside from potential prolonged sunshine; real-time DWD data through evening will refine the outcome as the market nears resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on April 3?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 3?
14°C 76%
15°C or higher 21.8%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$92,309 Vol.
$92,309 Vol.
3 abr 2026
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
76%
15°C or higher
22%
14°C 76%
15°C or higher 21.8%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$92,309 Vol.
$92,309 Vol.
3 abr 2026
12°C
$20,493 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$20,459 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$8,262 Vol.
76%
15°C or higher
$10,254 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 14°C high in Munich at 83.5% implied probability, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from DWD's ICON model, ECMWF, and GFS, which project daily maxima clustering at 11–14°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Europe. Current observations at Munich Airport station show midday temperatures around 11°C with westerly winds at 13 km/h and low humidity (46%), conditions conducive to late-afternoon peak heating toward 14°C amid mostly clear skies. This aligns with early-April climatology averaging 11–13°C highs, while the 17.8% on 15°C or higher reflects modest upside from potential prolonged sunshine; real-time DWD data through evening will refine the outcome as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$92,309Data de Término
3 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:04 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 14°C high in Munich at 83.5% implied probability, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from DWD's ICON model, ECMWF, and GFS, which project daily maxima clustering at 11–14°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Europe. Current observations at Munich Airport station show midday temperatures around 11°C with westerly winds at 13 km/h and low humidity (46%), conditions conducive to late-afternoon peak heating toward 14°C amid mostly clear skies. This aligns with early-April climatology averaging 11–13°C highs, while the 17.8% on 15°C or higher reflects modest upside from potential prolonged sunshine; real-time DWD data through evening will refine the outcome as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$92,309Data de Término
3 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:04 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 14°C high in Munich at 83.5% implied probability, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from DWD's ICON model, ECMWF, and GFS, which project daily maxima clustering at 11–14°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Europe. Current observations at Munich Airport station show midday temperatures around 11°C with westerly winds at 13 km/h and low humidity (46%), conditions conducive to late-afternoon peak heating toward 14°C amid mostly clear skies. This aligns with early-April climatology averaging 11–13°C highs, while the 17.8% on 15°C or higher reflects modest upside from potential prolonged sunshine; real-time DWD data through evening will refine the outcome as the market nears resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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