Trader consensus on Polymarket's implied probabilities heavily favors a Paris high of 13°C at 47.5%, closely tracking Météo-France's latest forecast model run projecting exactly that daytime maximum under persistent overcast skies and a cool Atlantic air mass. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models reinforce this, clustering outcomes at 12.5–13.5°C with limited solar heating due to thick cloud cover, aligning with early April climatological norms where highs average 12–14°C at Paris-Montsouris station. Recent 24-hour updates show minimal deviation from yesterday's 13°C high, though light showers could cap warming; traders await hourly observations from official stations for final resolution by midnight UTC.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on April 3?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 3?
13°C 57%
14°C 18%
12°C 13%
15°C 3.0%
$152,172 Vol.
$152,172 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
13%
13°C
57%
14°C
18%
15°C
3%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 57%
14°C 18%
12°C 13%
15°C 3.0%
$152,172 Vol.
$152,172 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
13%
13°C
57%
14°C
18%
15°C
3%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's implied probabilities heavily favors a Paris high of 13°C at 47.5%, closely tracking Météo-France's latest forecast model run projecting exactly that daytime maximum under persistent overcast skies and a cool Atlantic air mass. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models reinforce this, clustering outcomes at 12.5–13.5°C with limited solar heating due to thick cloud cover, aligning with early April climatological norms where highs average 12–14°C at Paris-Montsouris station. Recent 24-hour updates show minimal deviation from yesterday's 13°C high, though light showers could cap warming; traders await hourly observations from official stations for final resolution by midnight UTC.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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