Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France project Paris's highest temperature on April 5 clustering tightly at 14–16°C, reflecting trader consensus amid a cool, cloudy pattern following a mild late-March warm-up that has since given way to below-normal temperatures and persistent overcast skies. The narrow 2°C spread in model outputs—driven by uncertainties in cloud cover timing, light northerly winds, and shallow high-pressure influence—explains the closely matched implied probabilities for these outcomes, with historical early-April averages around 15°C providing baseline context. Daily updates from official agencies could shift the balance as resolution nears in three days.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 5 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 5 de abril?
14°C 31%
15°C 28%
16°C 23%
13°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
5 abr 2026
10°C ou menos
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
17%
14°C
31%
15°C
28%
16°C
23%
17°C
5%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C ou mais
1%
14°C 31%
15°C 28%
16°C 23%
13°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
5 abr 2026
10°C ou menos
$742 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$510 Vol.
1%
12°C
$480 Vol.
4%
13°C
$656 Vol.
17%
14°C
$713 Vol.
31%
15°C
$449 Vol.
28%
16°C
$984 Vol.
23%
17°C
$898 Vol.
5%
18°C
$354 Vol.
3%
19°C
$306 Vol.
2%
20°C ou mais
$347 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France project Paris's highest temperature on April 5 clustering tightly at 14–16°C, reflecting trader consensus amid a cool, cloudy pattern following a mild late-March warm-up that has since given way to below-normal temperatures and persistent overcast skies. The narrow 2°C spread in model outputs—driven by uncertainties in cloud cover timing, light northerly winds, and shallow high-pressure influence—explains the closely matched implied probabilities for these outcomes, with historical early-April averages around 15°C providing baseline context. Daily updates from official agencies could shift the balance as resolution nears in three days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volume
$6,439Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France project Paris's highest temperature on April 5 clustering tightly at 14–16°C, reflecting trader consensus amid a cool, cloudy pattern following a mild late-March warm-up that has since given way to below-normal temperatures and persistent overcast skies. The narrow 2°C spread in model outputs—driven by uncertainties in cloud cover timing, light northerly winds, and shallow high-pressure influence—explains the closely matched implied probabilities for these outcomes, with historical early-April averages around 15°C providing baseline context. Daily updates from official agencies could shift the balance as resolution nears in three days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,439Data de Término
5 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France project Paris's highest temperature on April 5 clustering tightly at 14–16°C, reflecting trader consensus amid a cool, cloudy pattern following a mild late-March warm-up that has since given way to below-normal temperatures and persistent overcast skies. The narrow 2°C spread in model outputs—driven by uncertainties in cloud cover timing, light northerly winds, and shallow high-pressure influence—explains the closely matched implied probabilities for these outcomes, with historical early-April averages around 15°C providing baseline context. Daily updates from official agencies could shift the balance as resolution nears in three days.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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