Latest Météo-France forecasts, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble models updated in the past 48 hours, project Paris's highest temperature on April 6 clustering around 14–16°C under a high-pressure ridge fostering mild early spring conditions, driving trader consensus with 16°C at 35.5% implied probability ahead of 17°C (21.5%) and 15°C (18.0%). This aligns with seasonal climatology at Paris-Montsouris station, where early April highs average 13–15°C amid Atlantic air masses, following March's anomalous warmth and recent cooler spells with cloudy overcast on April 2–3 (highs near 11°C). Inherent model uncertainty persists due to 40–50% precipitation chances potentially capping peaks via cloud cover; daily forecast bulletins from Météo-France will refine probabilities through April 5.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on April 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
16°C 34%
17°C 18%
18°C 17%
15°C 16%
14°C or below
15%
15°C
16%
16°C
34%
17°C
18%
18°C
17%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
16°C 34%
17°C 18%
18°C 17%
15°C 16%
14°C or below
15%
15°C
16%
16°C
34%
17°C
18%
18°C
17%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France forecasts, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble models updated in the past 48 hours, project Paris's highest temperature on April 6 clustering around 14–16°C under a high-pressure ridge fostering mild early spring conditions, driving trader consensus with 16°C at 35.5% implied probability ahead of 17°C (21.5%) and 15°C (18.0%). This aligns with seasonal climatology at Paris-Montsouris station, where early April highs average 13–15°C amid Atlantic air masses, following March's anomalous warmth and recent cooler spells with cloudy overcast on April 2–3 (highs near 11°C). Inherent model uncertainty persists due to 40–50% precipitation chances potentially capping peaks via cloud cover; daily forecast bulletins from Météo-France will refine probabilities through April 5.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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