Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 around 20-22°C under partly sunny conditions following morning fog clearance, with light southwesterly winds advecting mild air from the Mediterranean amid a post-warm March pattern. Trader-implied probabilities tightly cluster at 29% for 22°C and 27.5% for 21°C due to model consensus on these values, differentiated by subtle variations in afternoon cloud cover from alpine convection and boundary-layer mixing efficiency, which could suppress or enhance peak heating. GFS and ICON runs show similar spreads, with 23°C viable if clearer skies prevail. New DWD updates and model refreshes expected April 4 may refine odds ahead of resolution via official Munich station data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on April 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
22°C 29%
21°C 28%
23°C 19%
19°C 9%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
7%
21°C
28%
22°C
29%
23°C
19%
24°C or higher
8%
22°C 29%
21°C 28%
23°C 19%
19°C 9%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
7%
21°C
28%
22°C
29%
23°C
19%
24°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 5 around 20-22°C under partly sunny conditions following morning fog clearance, with light southwesterly winds advecting mild air from the Mediterranean amid a post-warm March pattern. Trader-implied probabilities tightly cluster at 29% for 22°C and 27.5% for 21°C due to model consensus on these values, differentiated by subtle variations in afternoon cloud cover from alpine convection and boundary-layer mixing efficiency, which could suppress or enhance peak heating. GFS and ICON runs show similar spreads, with 23°C viable if clearer skies prevail. New DWD updates and model refreshes expected April 4 may refine odds ahead of resolution via official Munich station data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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