Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance showing a cooling trend for Austin on April 5, driven by an approaching frontal passage late Saturday into Easter Sunday, introducing cooler mid-level air and below-normal highs around 68-73°F versus April 5 climatological normals near 78°F. Persistent low-level clouds, breezy southerly winds shifting northwest, and possible lingering showers will limit boundary-layer mixing and solar heating, differentiating the closely matched leading outcomes. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF exhibit modest spread in peak afternoon temperatures due to frontal timing uncertainty, with new 12z model runs expected Friday to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on April 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 5?
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 20%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 12%
$11,990 Vol.
$11,990 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
19%
74°F or higher
8%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 20%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 12%
$11,990 Vol.
$11,990 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
19%
74°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance showing a cooling trend for Austin on April 5, driven by an approaching frontal passage late Saturday into Easter Sunday, introducing cooler mid-level air and below-normal highs around 68-73°F versus April 5 climatological normals near 78°F. Persistent low-level clouds, breezy southerly winds shifting northwest, and possible lingering showers will limit boundary-layer mixing and solar heating, differentiating the closely matched leading outcomes. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF exhibit modest spread in peak afternoon temperatures due to frontal timing uncertainty, with new 12z model runs expected Friday to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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