National Weather Service forecasts position trader consensus at 66% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature reaching 72°F or higher on April 3, 2026, with a projected peak near 73°F under clear sunny skies and north winds of 9-18 mph. This reflects post-frontal high pressure ridging over California after Thursday's onshore winds and overnight clearing, enabling strong diurnal solar heating following the Bay Area's record hottest March on record. Climatological April highs average 64°F at official stations like SFO, but above-normal sea surface temperatures and minimal marine layer intrusion boost warming potential. Model consensus supports mild uncertainty around 70-73°F, with final NWS observations resolving the market by evening; watch for any late-afternoon forecast tweaks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 3?
72°F or higher 74%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 6%
66-67°F 1.8%
$27,910 Vol.
$27,910 Vol.
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
22%
72°F or higher
74%
72°F or higher 74%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 6%
66-67°F 1.8%
$27,910 Vol.
$27,910 Vol.
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
22%
72°F or higher
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts position trader consensus at 66% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature reaching 72°F or higher on April 3, 2026, with a projected peak near 73°F under clear sunny skies and north winds of 9-18 mph. This reflects post-frontal high pressure ridging over California after Thursday's onshore winds and overnight clearing, enabling strong diurnal solar heating following the Bay Area's record hottest March on record. Climatological April highs average 64°F at official stations like SFO, but above-normal sea surface temperatures and minimal marine layer intrusion boost warming potential. Model consensus supports mild uncertainty around 70-73°F, with final NWS observations resolving the market by evening; watch for any late-afternoon forecast tweaks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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