Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts a maximum temperature of 22°C in Buenos Aires on April 4 amid a sharp cooling trend following a recent heatwave with record high minimums, as an incoming frontal system delivers early morning showers and persistent cloud cover that curbs solar heating. Trader consensus, with 21°C at 30% and 20–22°C outcomes tightly clustered above 70% combined implied probability, mirrors GFS and ECMWF ensemble means hovering near 21°C, differentiated by model variances in afternoon cloud breaks and southerly winds enhancing coastal cooling. April climatology averages 22°C highs, but precipitation probability around 40% introduces uncertainty in peak diurnal warming; monitor hourly SMN updates for resolution based on Aeroparque observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
21°C 31%
20°C 23%
22°C 19%
23°C 12%
$20,834 Vol.
$20,834 Vol.
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
23%
21°C
31%
22°C
19%
23°C
12%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 31%
20°C 23%
22°C 19%
23°C 12%
$20,834 Vol.
$20,834 Vol.
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
23%
21°C
31%
22°C
19%
23°C
12%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts a maximum temperature of 22°C in Buenos Aires on April 4 amid a sharp cooling trend following a recent heatwave with record high minimums, as an incoming frontal system delivers early morning showers and persistent cloud cover that curbs solar heating. Trader consensus, with 21°C at 30% and 20–22°C outcomes tightly clustered above 70% combined implied probability, mirrors GFS and ECMWF ensemble means hovering near 21°C, differentiated by model variances in afternoon cloud breaks and southerly winds enhancing coastal cooling. April climatology averages 22°C highs, but precipitation probability around 40% introduces uncertainty in peak diurnal warming; monitor hourly SMN updates for resolution based on Aeroparque observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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