Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project a high of 27–29°C in Buenos Aires today, driving trader consensus toward 29°C or higher at 46% implied probability, followed by 28°C at 28.5%. This reflects a persistent blocking high-pressure ridge sustaining anomalous autumn warmth well above the early April climatological average of 22–24°C, as seen in recent record minimums and prior March heatwave peaks exceeding 38°C. Stable atmospheric conditions limit convective cooling, though minor model spread accounts for uncertainty in outcomes like 27°C (19%). Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and hourly updates through afternoon will sharpen resolution, with potential sea breeze moderation capping extremes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 3 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 3 de abril?
29°C ou mais 48%
28°C 28%
27°C 19%
26°C 9%
$37,043 Vol.
$37,043 Vol.
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
9%
27°C
19%
28°C
28%
29°C ou mais
42%
29°C ou mais 48%
28°C 28%
27°C 19%
26°C 9%
$37,043 Vol.
$37,043 Vol.
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
9%
27°C
19%
28°C
28%
29°C ou mais
42%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project a high of 27–29°C in Buenos Aires today, driving trader consensus toward 29°C or higher at 46% implied probability, followed by 28°C at 28.5%. This reflects a persistent blocking high-pressure ridge sustaining anomalous autumn warmth well above the early April climatological average of 22–24°C, as seen in recent record minimums and prior March heatwave peaks exceeding 38°C. Stable atmospheric conditions limit convective cooling, though minor model spread accounts for uncertainty in outcomes like 27°C (19%). Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and hourly updates through afternoon will sharpen resolution, with potential sea breeze moderation capping extremes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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