Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 60-61°F (36.5% implied probability) as the highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 4, closely trailed by 62-63°F (26.5%) and 58-59°F (24.5%), reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 60-62°F amid a transition from recent cloudy showers to partly sunny skies. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge building offshore after a wet March and early April pattern, promoting light southerly winds and reduced cloud cover, per NOAA model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which show consensus for mild spring conditions above the April climatological average of 57°F. Uncertainties include potential lingering marine stratus delaying peak heating or adding a degree cooler; watch overnight forecast updates and morning soundings for refinements ahead of resolution based on official hourly observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on April 4?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 4?
60-61°F 37%
62-63°F 26%
58-59°F 25%
64-65°F 6.8%
$16,754 Vol.
$16,754 Vol.
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
37%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
<1%
60-61°F 37%
62-63°F 26%
58-59°F 25%
64-65°F 6.8%
$16,754 Vol.
$16,754 Vol.
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
37%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 60-61°F (36.5% implied probability) as the highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 4, closely trailed by 62-63°F (26.5%) and 58-59°F (24.5%), reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 60-62°F amid a transition from recent cloudy showers to partly sunny skies. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge building offshore after a wet March and early April pattern, promoting light southerly winds and reduced cloud cover, per NOAA model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which show consensus for mild spring conditions above the April climatological average of 57°F. Uncertainties include potential lingering marine stratus delaying peak heating or adding a degree cooler; watch overnight forecast updates and morning soundings for refinements ahead of resolution based on official hourly observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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