Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Milan's highest temperature on April 6, with implied odds clustering around 22–24°C as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) ensembles show peak 2-meter temperatures in this range amid transitioning weather patterns. A recent double low-pressure vortex over Italy brought rain and cooler temperatures through Easter on April 5, but latest runs project clearing skies and mild southerly flow post-cold spell, boosting highs above early-April climatological averages of 16–18°C at Milan Linate station. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on residual cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification, with new ECMWF updates at 00Z/12Z daily potentially shifting the balance before resolution based on official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 6 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 6 de abril?
23°C 27%
21°C 25%
24°C 22%
22°C 17%
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
3%
21°C
17%
22°C
17%
23°C
27%
24°C
22%
25°C
14%
26°C
10%
27°C ou mais
11%
23°C 27%
21°C 25%
24°C 22%
22°C 17%
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
3%
21°C
17%
22°C
17%
23°C
27%
24°C
22%
25°C
14%
26°C
10%
27°C ou mais
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Milan's highest temperature on April 6, with implied odds clustering around 22–24°C as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) ensembles show peak 2-meter temperatures in this range amid transitioning weather patterns. A recent double low-pressure vortex over Italy brought rain and cooler temperatures through Easter on April 5, but latest runs project clearing skies and mild southerly flow post-cold spell, boosting highs above early-April climatological averages of 16–18°C at Milan Linate station. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on residual cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification, with new ECMWF updates at 00Z/12Z daily potentially shifting the balance before resolution based on official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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