Trader consensus has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 2, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by official observations at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C this afternoon under partly cloudy conditions with moderate southerly winds. Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS converged on a 17-19°C daily maximum pre-dawn, validated by hourly data showing a midday crest before evening cooldown amid rising humidity and cloud cover. April climatology averages 16-17°C highs, reinforcing this positioning. Only an improbable late-afternoon solar surge from sudden clearing could push to 19°C or higher, but sunset and stable upper-air patterns make it negligible.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 2?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 2?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$200,249 Vol.
$200,249 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$200,249 Vol.
$200,249 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 2, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by official observations at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source—peaking at 18°C this afternoon under partly cloudy conditions with moderate southerly winds. Turkish State Meteorological Service forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS converged on a 17-19°C daily maximum pre-dawn, validated by hourly data showing a midday crest before evening cooldown amid rising humidity and cloud cover. April climatology averages 16-17°C highs, reinforcing this positioning. Only an improbable late-afternoon solar surge from sudden clearing could push to 19°C or higher, but sunset and stable upper-air patterns make it negligible.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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