Trader consensus on a 17°C high in Istanbul stems from observational data at Atatürk Airport, where temperatures peaked at approximately 18°F (17.8°C, rounding to 17°C per standard meteorological reporting) around midday before dropping amid persistent light rain showers and broken cloud cover. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast aligns precisely, citing a low-pressure system over the Aegean Sea driving intermittent precipitation that caps solar heating, consistent with April climatology averaging 16°C highs. Ongoing yellow alerts for rain further suppress convective warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings to 18°C, though model ensembles show low probability as showers persist into evening. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 2?
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$139,364 Vol.
$139,364 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$139,364 Vol.
$139,364 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on a 17°C high in Istanbul stems from observational data at Atatürk Airport, where temperatures peaked at approximately 18°F (17.8°C, rounding to 17°C per standard meteorological reporting) around midday before dropping amid persistent light rain showers and broken cloud cover. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast aligns precisely, citing a low-pressure system over the Aegean Sea driving intermittent precipitation that caps solar heating, consistent with April climatology averaging 16°C highs. Ongoing yellow alerts for rain further suppress convective warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings to 18°C, though model ensembles show low probability as showers persist into evening. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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