Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 4, projects a maximum temperature of 27°C on April 5 amid a lingering trough of low pressure driving mainly cloudy skies, occasional heavy showers, and squally thunderstorms, with high humidity (75–95%) and south-to-southeast winds force 3–5. This underpins trader consensus, with market-implied odds nearly split at 35.5% for 26°C and 35.0% for 27°C, reflecting uncertainty in solar insolation: persistent cloud cover and precipitation could suppress peaks to 26°C, while brief sunny intervals might enable the upper forecast range. Models show inherent variability in shower timing; watch HKO's hourly updates and afternoon observations for shifts ahead of resolution based on official King’s Park measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 5 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 5 de abril?
26°C 36%
27°C 33%
25°C 19%
24°C 3.6%
$18,160 Vol.
$18,160 Vol.
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
19%
26°C
36%
27°C
33%
28°C
4%
29°C ou mais
3%
26°C 36%
27°C 33%
25°C 19%
24°C 3.6%
$18,160 Vol.
$18,160 Vol.
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
19%
26°C
36%
27°C
33%
28°C
4%
29°C ou mais
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 4, projects a maximum temperature of 27°C on April 5 amid a lingering trough of low pressure driving mainly cloudy skies, occasional heavy showers, and squally thunderstorms, with high humidity (75–95%) and south-to-southeast winds force 3–5. This underpins trader consensus, with market-implied odds nearly split at 35.5% for 26°C and 35.0% for 27°C, reflecting uncertainty in solar insolation: persistent cloud cover and precipitation could suppress peaks to 26°C, while brief sunny intervals might enable the upper forecast range. Models show inherent variability in shower timing; watch HKO's hourly updates and afternoon observations for shifts ahead of resolution based on official King’s Park measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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