**Current short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles positions Ankara’s July 18 daily maximum near 30–31 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow across the Anatolian plateau.** These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with Ankara’s July climatological average high of approximately 31 °C. Recent forecasts from BBC Weather and timeanddate.com explicitly project a 31 °C high for the 18th, while broader monthly outlooks show a 28.5–33.3 °C envelope centered on 32 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31 °C because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, reflecting stable synoptic forcing rather than significant model disagreement or incoming frontal systems. Minor downward revisions in some runs (favoring 29–30 °C) versus slight upward potential under drier boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split among the three leading outcomes, with traders discounting extremes below 28 °C or above 32 °C given the absence of heatwave or cooling signals in the latest guidance. Official observations will resolve the contract based on the 12:00 UTC maximum at the primary Ankara station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 18 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara em 18 de julho?
29°C 100.0%
25°C ou menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$81,255 Vol.
$81,255 Vol.
18 jul 2026
25°C ou menos
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Sim
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C ou mais
Não
29°C 100.0%
25°C ou menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$81,255 Vol.
$81,255 Vol.
18 jul 2026
25°C ou menos
$187 Vol.
Não
26°C
$835 Vol.
Não
27°C
$4,732 Vol.
Não
28°C
$11,682 Vol.
Não
29°C
$15,860 Vol.
Sim
30°C
$26,412 Vol.
Não
31°C
$8,827 Vol.
Não
32°C
$7,251 Vol.
Não
33°C
$4,223 Vol.
Não
34°C
$1,027 Vol.
Não
35°C ou mais
$220 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles positions Ankara’s July 18 daily maximum near 30–31 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow across the Anatolian plateau.** These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with Ankara’s July climatological average high of approximately 31 °C. Recent forecasts from BBC Weather and timeanddate.com explicitly project a 31 °C high for the 18th, while broader monthly outlooks show a 28.5–33.3 °C envelope centered on 32 °C.
Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31 °C because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, reflecting stable synoptic forcing rather than significant model disagreement or incoming frontal systems. Minor downward revisions in some runs (favoring 29–30 °C) versus slight upward potential under drier boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split among the three leading outcomes, with traders discounting extremes below 28 °C or above 32 °C given the absence of heatwave or cooling signals in the latest guidance. Official observations will resolve the contract based on the 12:00 UTC maximum at the primary Ankara station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$81,255Data de Término
18 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles positions Ankara’s July 18 daily maximum near 30–31 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow across the Anatolian plateau.** These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with Ankara’s July climatological average high of approximately 31 °C. Recent forecasts from BBC Weather and timeanddate.com explicitly project a 31 °C high for the 18th, while broader monthly outlooks show a 28.5–33.3 °C envelope centered on 32 °C.
Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31 °C because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, reflecting stable synoptic forcing rather than significant model disagreement or incoming frontal systems. Minor downward revisions in some runs (favoring 29–30 °C) versus slight upward potential under drier boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split among the three leading outcomes, with traders discounting extremes below 28 °C or above 32 °C given the absence of heatwave or cooling signals in the latest guidance. Official observations will resolve the contract based on the 12:00 UTC maximum at the primary Ankara station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$81,255Data de Término
18 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Current short-range model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles positions Ankara’s July 18 daily maximum near 30–31 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow across the Anatolian plateau.** These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, aligning with Ankara’s July climatological average high of approximately 31 °C. Recent forecasts from BBC Weather and timeanddate.com explicitly project a 31 °C high for the 18th, while broader monthly outlooks show a 28.5–33.3 °C envelope centered on 32 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–31 °C because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, reflecting stable synoptic forcing rather than significant model disagreement or incoming frontal systems. Minor downward revisions in some runs (favoring 29–30 °C) versus slight upward potential under drier boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split among the three leading outcomes, with traders discounting extremes below 28 °C or above 32 °C given the absence of heatwave or cooling signals in the latest guidance. Official observations will resolve the contract based on the 12:00 UTC maximum at the primary Ankara station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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