Traders see 32–33°C as the most likely peak for Manila on July 20 because the southwest monsoon continues to deliver persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. Typical July climatology from PAGASA and long-term observations places average daily maxima near 31°C, but brief breaks in convection or stronger easterly flow can allow brief spikes to 33°C, while heavier rain suppresses readings toward 31°C. Model consensus emphasizes these moisture-driven variables over the next 48 hours, with the tight spread between leading outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of convective activity rather than any major shift in the broader pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 20 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 20 de julho?
33°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$28,443 Vol.
$28,443 Vol.
20 jul 2026
26°C ou menos
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Sim
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C ou mais
Não
33°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$28,443 Vol.
$28,443 Vol.
20 jul 2026
26°C ou menos
$321 Vol.
Não
27°C
$290 Vol.
Não
28°C
$190 Vol.
Não
29°C
$3,342 Vol.
Não
30°C
$734 Vol.
Não
31°C
$4,060 Vol.
Não
32°C
$3,939 Vol.
Não
33°C
$8,040 Vol.
Sim
34°C
$3,887 Vol.
Não
35°C
$2,135 Vol.
Não
36°C ou mais
$1,505 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 32–33°C as the most likely peak for Manila on July 20 because the southwest monsoon continues to deliver persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. Typical July climatology from PAGASA and long-term observations places average daily maxima near 31°C, but brief breaks in convection or stronger easterly flow can allow brief spikes to 33°C, while heavier rain suppresses readings toward 31°C. Model consensus emphasizes these moisture-driven variables over the next 48 hours, with the tight spread between leading outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of convective activity rather than any major shift in the broader pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 18, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$28,443Data de Término
20 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 18, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 32–33°C as the most likely peak for Manila on July 20 because the southwest monsoon continues to deliver persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. Typical July climatology from PAGASA and long-term observations places average daily maxima near 31°C, but brief breaks in convection or stronger easterly flow can allow brief spikes to 33°C, while heavier rain suppresses readings toward 31°C. Model consensus emphasizes these moisture-driven variables over the next 48 hours, with the tight spread between leading outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of convective activity rather than any major shift in the broader pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,443Data de Término
20 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 18, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Traders see 32–33°C as the most likely peak for Manila on July 20 because the southwest monsoon continues to deliver persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. Typical July climatology from PAGASA and long-term observations places average daily maxima near 31°C, but brief breaks in convection or stronger easterly flow can allow brief spikes to 33°C, while heavier rain suppresses readings toward 31°C. Model consensus emphasizes these moisture-driven variables over the next 48 hours, with the tight spread between leading outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of convective activity rather than any major shift in the broader pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions