Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), as reported by the National Weather Service's daily climatological summary and Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on April 2 reached 86-87°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects verified ASOS data capturing peak midday heating under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, following March 2026's record warmth—warmest on record—and April 1's near-record 92°F high. Morning showers from a weak disturbance capped further intensification, consistent with NOAA model consensus. Scenarios challenging this would require an improbable data revision due to sensor malfunction, as multiple sources align precisely. Final resolution awaits standard verification timelines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on April 2?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 2?
86-87°F 100.0%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$71,603 Vol.
$71,603 Vol.
86-87°F
100%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 100.0%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$71,603 Vol.
$71,603 Vol.
86-87°F
100%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), as reported by the National Weather Service's daily climatological summary and Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on April 2 reached 86-87°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This positioning reflects verified ASOS data capturing peak midday heating under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, following March 2026's record warmth—warmest on record—and April 1's near-record 92°F high. Morning showers from a weak disturbance capped further intensification, consistent with NOAA model consensus. Scenarios challenging this would require an improbable data revision due to sensor malfunction, as multiple sources align precisely. Final resolution awaits standard verification timelines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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