Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin place the August 21 high near 103–104°F amid a persistent heatwave, directly supporting the tight 49.5%–43% market split between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins. Southerly flow, strong high pressure, and low atmospheric moisture favor maximum daytime heating, with historical August baselines around 96–100°F underscoring the anomalous warmth. Minor spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs create the primary uncertainty, while official resolution hinges on the highest recorded temperature at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 21 de agosto?
102-103°F 49%
104-105°F 43%
100-101°F 6%
106-107°F 6%
93°F ou menos
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
49%
104-105°F
43%
106-107°F
6%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
4%
112°F ou mais
<1%
102-103°F 49%
104-105°F 43%
100-101°F 6%
106-107°F 6%
93°F ou menos
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
49%
104-105°F
43%
106-107°F
6%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
4%
112°F ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin place the August 21 high near 103–104°F amid a persistent heatwave, directly supporting the tight 49.5%–43% market split between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins. Southerly flow, strong high pressure, and low atmospheric moisture favor maximum daytime heating, with historical August baselines around 96–100°F underscoring the anomalous warmth. Minor spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs create the primary uncertainty, while official resolution hinges on the highest recorded temperature at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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