Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate NYC overnight lows near 70–73°F amid persistent high humidity and dew points in the low 70s, which suppress radiative cooling under a warm, moist air mass. Trader consensus has shifted toward 66–69°F for August 21 as models signal a subtle wind shift and reduced cloud cover that could enhance overnight temperature drops, though urban heat effects and residual moisture limit deeper cooling. This aligns with typical late-August climatology where averages hover near 67°F, with the 68–69°F bin leading at 41.5% implied probability reflecting measured model agreement and limited downside risk from stalled fronts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 21 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 21 de agosto?
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 27%
70-71°F 12%
72-73°F 8%
NOVO
NOVO
21 ago 2026
57°F ou menos
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
42%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
5%
76°F ou mais
1%
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 27%
70-71°F 12%
72-73°F 8%
NOVO
NOVO
21 ago 2026
57°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$10 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$15 Vol.
3%
62-63°F
$51 Vol.
5%
64-65°F
$97 Vol.
7%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
27%
68-69°F
$51 Vol.
42%
70-71°F
$66 Vol.
12%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$15 Vol.
5%
76°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate NYC overnight lows near 70–73°F amid persistent high humidity and dew points in the low 70s, which suppress radiative cooling under a warm, moist air mass. Trader consensus has shifted toward 66–69°F for August 21 as models signal a subtle wind shift and reduced cloud cover that could enhance overnight temperature drops, though urban heat effects and residual moisture limit deeper cooling. This aligns with typical late-August climatology where averages hover near 67°F, with the 68–69°F bin leading at 41.5% implied probability reflecting measured model agreement and limited downside risk from stalled fronts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$305Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate NYC overnight lows near 70–73°F amid persistent high humidity and dew points in the low 70s, which suppress radiative cooling under a warm, moist air mass. Trader consensus has shifted toward 66–69°F for August 21 as models signal a subtle wind shift and reduced cloud cover that could enhance overnight temperature drops, though urban heat effects and residual moisture limit deeper cooling. This aligns with typical late-August climatology where averages hover near 67°F, with the 68–69°F bin leading at 41.5% implied probability reflecting measured model agreement and limited downside risk from stalled fronts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$305Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate NYC overnight lows near 70–73°F amid persistent high humidity and dew points in the low 70s, which suppress radiative cooling under a warm, moist air mass. Trader consensus has shifted toward 66–69°F for August 21 as models signal a subtle wind shift and reduced cloud cover that could enhance overnight temperature drops, though urban heat effects and residual moisture limit deeper cooling. This aligns with typical late-August climatology where averages hover near 67°F, with the 68–69°F bin leading at 41.5% implied probability reflecting measured model agreement and limited downside risk from stalled fronts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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