Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate an overnight low of 72–73°F in New York City on August 19, aligning with the market's leading 46.5% implied probability for that bin. Persistent southerly flow and above-average warmth for the month—driven by a lack of strong cold fronts—have kept minimum temperatures elevated, consistent with the Climate Prediction Center’s outlook for warmer-than-normal August conditions across the Northeast. Historical Central Park data show typical mid-August lows near 67°F, yet current guidance and ensemble consensus point to milder readings near 73°F, with limited model spread supporting the 70–75°F range holding over 85% probability. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour forecast updates for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter radiative cooling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 19 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 19 de agosto?
72-73°F 47%
74-75°F 22%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 10%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
61°F ou menos
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
47%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
1%
80°F ou mais
<1%
72-73°F 47%
74-75°F 22%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 10%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
61°F ou menos
$20 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$25 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$15 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$60 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$109 Vol.
10%
70-71°F
$124 Vol.
14%
72-73°F
$49 Vol.
47%
74-75°F
$63 Vol.
18%
76-77°F
$104 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$20 Vol.
1%
80°F ou mais
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate an overnight low of 72–73°F in New York City on August 19, aligning with the market's leading 46.5% implied probability for that bin. Persistent southerly flow and above-average warmth for the month—driven by a lack of strong cold fronts—have kept minimum temperatures elevated, consistent with the Climate Prediction Center’s outlook for warmer-than-normal August conditions across the Northeast. Historical Central Park data show typical mid-August lows near 67°F, yet current guidance and ensemble consensus point to milder readings near 73°F, with limited model spread supporting the 70–75°F range holding over 85% probability. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour forecast updates for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter radiative cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$604Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate an overnight low of 72–73°F in New York City on August 19, aligning with the market's leading 46.5% implied probability for that bin. Persistent southerly flow and above-average warmth for the month—driven by a lack of strong cold fronts—have kept minimum temperatures elevated, consistent with the Climate Prediction Center’s outlook for warmer-than-normal August conditions across the Northeast. Historical Central Park data show typical mid-August lows near 67°F, yet current guidance and ensemble consensus point to milder readings near 73°F, with limited model spread supporting the 70–75°F range holding over 85% probability. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour forecast updates for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter radiative cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$604Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs indicate an overnight low of 72–73°F in New York City on August 19, aligning with the market's leading 46.5% implied probability for that bin. Persistent southerly flow and above-average warmth for the month—driven by a lack of strong cold fronts—have kept minimum temperatures elevated, consistent with the Climate Prediction Center’s outlook for warmer-than-normal August conditions across the Northeast. Historical Central Park data show typical mid-August lows near 67°F, yet current guidance and ensemble consensus point to milder readings near 73°F, with limited model spread supporting the 70–75°F range holding over 85% probability. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour forecast updates for any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter radiative cooling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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