Current forecast consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS points to Beijing's highest temperature on April 19 clustering around 22°C, driving trader sentiment with 31.5% implied probability, as partial clearing follows the recent cool spell of showers and overcast skies (highs 13–19°C on April 16–17). Mid-April climatology supports this, with historical averages near 22°C amid spring warming, though high uncertainty spreads odds across 21–26°C due to variable cloud cover, light winds, and potential northerly flows suppressing peaks below 20°C or allowing sunny breaks to push toward 25°C+. Key resolution hinges on official Beijing observatory data; watch CMA's April 18 update for refined model runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 19?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 19?
22°C 29%
25°C 26%
24°C 18%
23°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
19 abr 2026
19°C or below
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
14%
22°C
25%
23°C
16%
24°C
18%
25°C
22%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
22°C 29%
25°C 26%
24°C 18%
23°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
19 abr 2026
19°C or below
$32 Vol.
3%
20°C
$119 Vol.
2%
21°C
$63 Vol.
14%
22°C
$23 Vol.
25%
23°C
$29 Vol.
16%
24°C
$18 Vol.
18%
25°C
$37 Vol.
22%
26°C
$170 Vol.
9%
27°C
$120 Vol.
4%
28°C
$233 Vol.
2%
29°C or higher
$299 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS points to Beijing's highest temperature on April 19 clustering around 22°C, driving trader sentiment with 31.5% implied probability, as partial clearing follows the recent cool spell of showers and overcast skies (highs 13–19°C on April 16–17). Mid-April climatology supports this, with historical averages near 22°C amid spring warming, though high uncertainty spreads odds across 21–26°C due to variable cloud cover, light winds, and potential northerly flows suppressing peaks below 20°C or allowing sunny breaks to push toward 25°C+. Key resolution hinges on official Beijing observatory data; watch CMA's April 18 update for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$1,095Data de Término
19 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS points to Beijing's highest temperature on April 19 clustering around 22°C, driving trader sentiment with 31.5% implied probability, as partial clearing follows the recent cool spell of showers and overcast skies (highs 13–19°C on April 16–17). Mid-April climatology supports this, with historical averages near 22°C amid spring warming, though high uncertainty spreads odds across 21–26°C due to variable cloud cover, light winds, and potential northerly flows suppressing peaks below 20°C or allowing sunny breaks to push toward 25°C+. Key resolution hinges on official Beijing observatory data; watch CMA's April 18 update for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,095Data de Término
19 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS points to Beijing's highest temperature on April 19 clustering around 22°C, driving trader sentiment with 31.5% implied probability, as partial clearing follows the recent cool spell of showers and overcast skies (highs 13–19°C on April 16–17). Mid-April climatology supports this, with historical averages near 22°C amid spring warming, though high uncertainty spreads odds across 21–26°C due to variable cloud cover, light winds, and potential northerly flows suppressing peaks below 20°C or allowing sunny breaks to push toward 25°C+. Key resolution hinges on official Beijing observatory data; watch CMA's April 18 update for refined model runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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