Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F (30.5%) and 84-85°F (28.5%) for Dallas's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting tight uncertainty in National Weather Service short-range forecasts and ensemble model outputs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which converge on mid-80s peaks amid a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting clear skies, light southerly winds, and efficient boundary-layer heating. Above-normal spring conditions per NOAA outlooks, coupled with low soil moisture from ongoing drought trends, support warm anomalies over the 76°F climatological normal, though minor differences in afternoon cloudiness timing and urban heat island effects differentiate the bins. Watch NWS Fort Worth/Dallas evening updates for refined guidance ahead of peak heating around 3-5 p.m. CDT.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas no dia 16 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Dallas no dia 16 de abril?
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 33%
82-83°F 15%
88-89°F 10%
75°F ou menos
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
2%
94°F ou mais
1%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 33%
82-83°F 15%
88-89°F 10%
75°F ou menos
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
2%
94°F ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F (30.5%) and 84-85°F (28.5%) for Dallas's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting tight uncertainty in National Weather Service short-range forecasts and ensemble model outputs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which converge on mid-80s peaks amid a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting clear skies, light southerly winds, and efficient boundary-layer heating. Above-normal spring conditions per NOAA outlooks, coupled with low soil moisture from ongoing drought trends, support warm anomalies over the 76°F climatological normal, though minor differences in afternoon cloudiness timing and urban heat island effects differentiate the bins. Watch NWS Fort Worth/Dallas evening updates for refined guidance ahead of peak heating around 3-5 p.m. CDT.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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