Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or below at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 17, 2026, driven by official observations confirming peak readings no higher than 26°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong province. China Meteorological Administration forecasts had anticipated a 28°C high, but reduced insolation under overcast skies—reducing incoming solar radiation by up to 80%—combined with evaporative cooling from showers, suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical April climatology where cloudy days average 2–4°C cooler than sunny norms. Only an unlikely post-daylight data revision from Wunderground's finalized airport records could challenge this positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 17 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 17 de abril?
26°C or below 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$57,233 Vol.
$57,233 Vol.
17 abr 2026
26°C or below
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
26°C or below 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$57,233 Vol.
$57,233 Vol.
17 abr 2026
26°C or below
$20,308 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$8,283 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,610 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,396 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,425 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,356 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,857 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,241 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,390 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,854 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,513 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or below at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 17, 2026, driven by official observations confirming peak readings no higher than 26°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong province. China Meteorological Administration forecasts had anticipated a 28°C high, but reduced insolation under overcast skies—reducing incoming solar radiation by up to 80%—combined with evaporative cooling from showers, suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical April climatology where cloudy days average 2–4°C cooler than sunny norms. Only an unlikely post-daylight data revision from Wunderground's finalized airport records could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$57,233Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or below at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 17, 2026, driven by official observations confirming peak readings no higher than 26°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong province. China Meteorological Administration forecasts had anticipated a 28°C high, but reduced insolation under overcast skies—reducing incoming solar radiation by up to 80%—combined with evaporative cooling from showers, suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical April climatology where cloudy days average 2–4°C cooler than sunny norms. Only an unlikely post-daylight data revision from Wunderground's finalized airport records could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,233Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or below at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 17, 2026, driven by official observations confirming peak readings no higher than 26°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong province. China Meteorological Administration forecasts had anticipated a 28°C high, but reduced insolation under overcast skies—reducing incoming solar radiation by up to 80%—combined with evaporative cooling from showers, suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical April climatology where cloudy days average 2–4°C cooler than sunny norms. Only an unlikely post-daylight data revision from Wunderground's finalized airport records could challenge this positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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