Current short-range forecasts from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34 °C on June 24, with scattered showers and persistent high humidity likely moderating peak values. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds for 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting minor differences among ensemble runs on cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and steering flow from the southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide background support, yet the narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical late-June variability in convective activity and urban heat retention. Updated model guidance and official daily bulletins through June 23 will clarify whether daytime heating reaches the higher threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 24 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 24 de junho?
32°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$193,684 Vol.
$193,684 Vol.
24 jun 2026
26°C ou menos
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Sim
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C ou mais
Não
32°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$193,684 Vol.
$193,684 Vol.
24 jun 2026
26°C ou menos
$1,261 Vol.
Não
27°C
$156 Vol.
Não
28°C
$262 Vol.
Não
29°C
$770 Vol.
Não
30°C
$5,928 Vol.
Não
31°C
$25,402 Vol.
Não
32°C
$59,475 Vol.
Sim
33°C
$44,157 Vol.
Não
34°C
$34,623 Vol.
Não
35°C
$11,853 Vol.
Não
36°C ou mais
$9,797 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34 °C on June 24, with scattered showers and persistent high humidity likely moderating peak values. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds for 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting minor differences among ensemble runs on cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and steering flow from the southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide background support, yet the narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical late-June variability in convective activity and urban heat retention. Updated model guidance and official daily bulletins through June 23 will clarify whether daytime heating reaches the higher threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 22, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$193,684Data de Término
24 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 22, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34 °C on June 24, with scattered showers and persistent high humidity likely moderating peak values. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds for 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting minor differences among ensemble runs on cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and steering flow from the southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide background support, yet the narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical late-June variability in convective activity and urban heat retention. Updated model guidance and official daily bulletins through June 23 will clarify whether daytime heating reaches the higher threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$193,684Data de Término
24 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 22, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current short-range forecasts from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34 °C on June 24, with scattered showers and persistent high humidity likely moderating peak values. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds for 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting minor differences among ensemble runs on cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and steering flow from the southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide background support, yet the narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical late-June variability in convective activity and urban heat retention. Updated model guidance and official daily bulletins through June 23 will clarify whether daytime heating reaches the higher threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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