Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on July 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit excessive heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where average July highs hover around 27–28°C, though brief warm advection could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range, with limited upside risk from current guidance and no major model divergence or heatwave signals in the latest updates. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish State Meteorological Service station reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 1 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 1 de julho?
28°C 100.0%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$37,885 Vol.
$37,885 Vol.
1 jul 2026
23°C ou menos
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Sim
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C ou mais
Não
28°C 100.0%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$37,885 Vol.
$37,885 Vol.
1 jul 2026
23°C ou menos
$681 Vol.
Não
24°C
$1,231 Vol.
Não
25°C
$1,325 Vol.
Não
26°C
$2,751 Vol.
Não
27°C
$2,507 Vol.
Não
28°C
$11,826 Vol.
Sim
29°C
$8,079 Vol.
Não
30°C
$3,039 Vol.
Não
31°C
$2,162 Vol.
Não
32°C
$2,012 Vol.
Não
33°C ou mais
$2,271 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on July 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit excessive heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where average July highs hover around 27–28°C, though brief warm advection could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range, with limited upside risk from current guidance and no major model divergence or heatwave signals in the latest updates. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish State Meteorological Service station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$37,885Data de Término
1 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on July 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit excessive heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where average July highs hover around 27–28°C, though brief warm advection could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range, with limited upside risk from current guidance and no major model divergence or heatwave signals in the latest updates. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish State Meteorological Service station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,885Data de Término
1 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on July 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit excessive heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where average July highs hover around 27–28°C, though brief warm advection could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range, with limited upside risk from current guidance and no major model divergence or heatwave signals in the latest updates. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish State Meteorological Service station reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions