Seasonal summer patterns in northern China position the 26°C or higher outcome as the clear market leader for Jinan’s August 12 high temperature, with trader consensus at 83.5% reflecting climatological averages of 29–32°C for mid-August. Recent model runs from sources like AccuWeather and BBC Weather project daytime maxima of 27–31°C under typical warm, humid conditions, with only modest cooling trends noted after early-month heat events exceeding 35–40°C. Forecast consensus shows limited model disagreement on significant drops below 26°C, as steering patterns and residual warmth from the peak season sustain elevated readings. Upcoming updates from regional meteorological agencies will refine details on any localized showers or cloud cover that could marginally influence the daily peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jinan em 12 de agosto?
26°C or higher 84%
23°C 19%
24°C 19%
25°C 18%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
13%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
18%
26°C or higher
84%
26°C or higher 84%
23°C 19%
24°C 19%
25°C 18%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
13%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
18%
26°C or higher
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal summer patterns in northern China position the 26°C or higher outcome as the clear market leader for Jinan’s August 12 high temperature, with trader consensus at 83.5% reflecting climatological averages of 29–32°C for mid-August. Recent model runs from sources like AccuWeather and BBC Weather project daytime maxima of 27–31°C under typical warm, humid conditions, with only modest cooling trends noted after early-month heat events exceeding 35–40°C. Forecast consensus shows limited model disagreement on significant drops below 26°C, as steering patterns and residual warmth from the peak season sustain elevated readings. Upcoming updates from regional meteorological agencies will refine details on any localized showers or cloud cover that could marginally influence the daily peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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