**Strong seasonal patterns and current forecasts underpin the overwhelming market consensus favoring a high of 26°C or higher for Jinan on August 11.** Mid-August climatology for this northern China location shows average daily highs near 31°C, with typical peaks often reaching 34–37°C amid persistent summer warmth and high humidity. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, alongside extended-range models, points to continued above-normal temperatures without significant cooling influences such as strong frontal passages. The near-100% implied probability reflects traders' assessment of minimal downside risk from these baselines. A realistic challenge would require an atypical, rapidly developing cold surge or widespread cloud cover and heavy precipitation to suppress the maximum, though such developments remain low-probability based on present atmospheric conditions and historical analogs for the region.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jinan em 11 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Jinan em 11 de agosto?
26°C or higher 99.4%
17°C <1%
25°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
NOVO
NOVO
11 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
17°C <1%
25°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
NOVO
NOVO
11 ago 2026
16°C or below
$323 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$363 Vol.
1%
18°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$576 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$253 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,045 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong seasonal patterns and current forecasts underpin the overwhelming market consensus favoring a high of 26°C or higher for Jinan on August 11.** Mid-August climatology for this northern China location shows average daily highs near 31°C, with typical peaks often reaching 34–37°C amid persistent summer warmth and high humidity. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, alongside extended-range models, points to continued above-normal temperatures without significant cooling influences such as strong frontal passages. The near-100% implied probability reflects traders' assessment of minimal downside risk from these baselines. A realistic challenge would require an atypical, rapidly developing cold surge or widespread cloud cover and heavy precipitation to suppress the maximum, though such developments remain low-probability based on present atmospheric conditions and historical analogs for the region.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,139Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong seasonal patterns and current forecasts underpin the overwhelming market consensus favoring a high of 26°C or higher for Jinan on August 11.** Mid-August climatology for this northern China location shows average daily highs near 31°C, with typical peaks often reaching 34–37°C amid persistent summer warmth and high humidity. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, alongside extended-range models, points to continued above-normal temperatures without significant cooling influences such as strong frontal passages. The near-100% implied probability reflects traders' assessment of minimal downside risk from these baselines. A realistic challenge would require an atypical, rapidly developing cold surge or widespread cloud cover and heavy precipitation to suppress the maximum, though such developments remain low-probability based on present atmospheric conditions and historical analogs for the region.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,139Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong seasonal patterns and current forecasts underpin the overwhelming market consensus favoring a high of 26°C or higher for Jinan on August 11.** Mid-August climatology for this northern China location shows average daily highs near 31°C, with typical peaks often reaching 34–37°C amid persistent summer warmth and high humidity. Official monitoring from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, alongside extended-range models, points to continued above-normal temperatures without significant cooling influences such as strong frontal passages. The near-100% implied probability reflects traders' assessment of minimal downside risk from these baselines. A realistic challenge would require an atypical, rapidly developing cold surge or widespread cloud cover and heavy precipitation to suppress the maximum, though such developments remain low-probability based on present atmospheric conditions and historical analogs for the region.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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