Persistent summer heat across Shandong province, driven by subtropical high-pressure dominance and limited cold-air advection, underpins the overwhelming 99% market-implied odds for a Jinan maximum of 26 °C or higher on August 10. Official forecasts from AccuWeather, Time and Date, and BBC Weather converge on daily highs of 32–33 °C (90–92 °F) under partly cloudy to thundershower conditions, consistent with August climatology where mean highs reach 30–32 °C and values below 26 °C are rare. Regional monitoring confirms ongoing warmth with elevated humidity amplifying perceived temperatures. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of model agreement and historical baselines. An unforecasted frontal passage or sharp model revision introducing cooler northerly flow could theoretically lower readings, though such shifts carry low probability given current guidance and the narrow 24-hour window remaining.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jinan em 10 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Jinan em 10 de agosto?
26°C ou mais 99.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
10 ago 2026
16°C ou menos
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C ou mais
99%
26°C ou mais 99.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
10 ago 2026
16°C ou menos
$255 Vol.
1%
17°C
$250 Vol.
1%
18°C
$255 Vol.
1%
19°C
$250 Vol.
1%
20°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$51 Vol.
1%
22°C
$50 Vol.
1%
23°C
$45 Vol.
1%
24°C
$167 Vol.
1%
25°C
$127 Vol.
1%
26°C ou mais
$595 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across Shandong province, driven by subtropical high-pressure dominance and limited cold-air advection, underpins the overwhelming 99% market-implied odds for a Jinan maximum of 26 °C or higher on August 10. Official forecasts from AccuWeather, Time and Date, and BBC Weather converge on daily highs of 32–33 °C (90–92 °F) under partly cloudy to thundershower conditions, consistent with August climatology where mean highs reach 30–32 °C and values below 26 °C are rare. Regional monitoring confirms ongoing warmth with elevated humidity amplifying perceived temperatures. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of model agreement and historical baselines. An unforecasted frontal passage or sharp model revision introducing cooler northerly flow could theoretically lower readings, though such shifts carry low probability given current guidance and the narrow 24-hour window remaining.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,346Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across Shandong province, driven by subtropical high-pressure dominance and limited cold-air advection, underpins the overwhelming 99% market-implied odds for a Jinan maximum of 26 °C or higher on August 10. Official forecasts from AccuWeather, Time and Date, and BBC Weather converge on daily highs of 32–33 °C (90–92 °F) under partly cloudy to thundershower conditions, consistent with August climatology where mean highs reach 30–32 °C and values below 26 °C are rare. Regional monitoring confirms ongoing warmth with elevated humidity amplifying perceived temperatures. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of model agreement and historical baselines. An unforecasted frontal passage or sharp model revision introducing cooler northerly flow could theoretically lower readings, though such shifts carry low probability given current guidance and the narrow 24-hour window remaining.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,346Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer heat across Shandong province, driven by subtropical high-pressure dominance and limited cold-air advection, underpins the overwhelming 99% market-implied odds for a Jinan maximum of 26 °C or higher on August 10. Official forecasts from AccuWeather, Time and Date, and BBC Weather converge on daily highs of 32–33 °C (90–92 °F) under partly cloudy to thundershower conditions, consistent with August climatology where mean highs reach 30–32 °C and values below 26 °C are rare. Regional monitoring confirms ongoing warmth with elevated humidity amplifying perceived temperatures. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of model agreement and historical baselines. An unforecasted frontal passage or sharp model revision introducing cooler northerly flow could theoretically lower readings, though such shifts carry low probability given current guidance and the narrow 24-hour window remaining.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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