**Trader sentiment for Karachi's highest temperature on July 1, 2026, centers on 33–35°C, with 34°C holding the strongest implied probability at 42.5%.** This reflects the city's typical early-July climatology, where daytime highs average near 31–34°C (88–93°F) as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. Coastal location on the Arabian Sea brings moderating sea breezes and higher humidity, which cap extreme heat compared with inland Sindh. Late-June 2026 conditions featured persistently hot weather across southern Pakistan, with Karachi maxima often 34–38°C amid pre-monsoon dryness; this baseline supports a modest cooling or stabilization trend into the first days of July rather than a sharp spike or drop. Long-range guidance and historical analogs show July 1 highs rarely exceed 36°C or fall below 31°C without an unusual synoptic shift, such as a strong monsoon surge or persistent high-pressure ridge. Model consensus and recent seasonal patterns therefore concentrate probability mass in the narrow 33–35°C band, while tails (below 31°C or 37°C+) remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and the short forecast horizon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Karachi em 1 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Karachi em 1 de julho?
33°C 100.0%
28°C ou menos <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$123,989 Vol.
$123,989 Vol.
1 jul 2026
28°C ou menos
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Sim
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C ou mais
Não
33°C 100.0%
28°C ou menos <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$123,989 Vol.
$123,989 Vol.
1 jul 2026
28°C ou menos
$11,381 Vol.
Não
29°C
$22,156 Vol.
Não
30°C
$2,793 Vol.
Não
31°C
$31,306 Vol.
Não
32°C
$25,150 Vol.
Não
33°C
$9,620 Vol.
Sim
34°C
$7,433 Vol.
Não
35°C
$6,880 Vol.
Não
36°C
$3,766 Vol.
Não
37°C
$1,935 Vol.
Não
38°C ou mais
$1,568 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's highest temperature on July 1, 2026, centers on 33–35°C, with 34°C holding the strongest implied probability at 42.5%.** This reflects the city's typical early-July climatology, where daytime highs average near 31–34°C (88–93°F) as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. Coastal location on the Arabian Sea brings moderating sea breezes and higher humidity, which cap extreme heat compared with inland Sindh.
Late-June 2026 conditions featured persistently hot weather across southern Pakistan, with Karachi maxima often 34–38°C amid pre-monsoon dryness; this baseline supports a modest cooling or stabilization trend into the first days of July rather than a sharp spike or drop. Long-range guidance and historical analogs show July 1 highs rarely exceed 36°C or fall below 31°C without an unusual synoptic shift, such as a strong monsoon surge or persistent high-pressure ridge. Model consensus and recent seasonal patterns therefore concentrate probability mass in the narrow 33–35°C band, while tails (below 31°C or 37°C+) remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and the short forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$123,989Data de Término
1 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's highest temperature on July 1, 2026, centers on 33–35°C, with 34°C holding the strongest implied probability at 42.5%.** This reflects the city's typical early-July climatology, where daytime highs average near 31–34°C (88–93°F) as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. Coastal location on the Arabian Sea brings moderating sea breezes and higher humidity, which cap extreme heat compared with inland Sindh.
Late-June 2026 conditions featured persistently hot weather across southern Pakistan, with Karachi maxima often 34–38°C amid pre-monsoon dryness; this baseline supports a modest cooling or stabilization trend into the first days of July rather than a sharp spike or drop. Long-range guidance and historical analogs show July 1 highs rarely exceed 36°C or fall below 31°C without an unusual synoptic shift, such as a strong monsoon surge or persistent high-pressure ridge. Model consensus and recent seasonal patterns therefore concentrate probability mass in the narrow 33–35°C band, while tails (below 31°C or 37°C+) remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and the short forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$123,989Data de Término
1 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Trader sentiment for Karachi's highest temperature on July 1, 2026, centers on 33–35°C, with 34°C holding the strongest implied probability at 42.5%.** This reflects the city's typical early-July climatology, where daytime highs average near 31–34°C (88–93°F) as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. Coastal location on the Arabian Sea brings moderating sea breezes and higher humidity, which cap extreme heat compared with inland Sindh. Late-June 2026 conditions featured persistently hot weather across southern Pakistan, with Karachi maxima often 34–38°C amid pre-monsoon dryness; this baseline supports a modest cooling or stabilization trend into the first days of July rather than a sharp spike or drop. Long-range guidance and historical analogs show July 1 highs rarely exceed 36°C or fall below 31°C without an unusual synoptic shift, such as a strong monsoon surge or persistent high-pressure ridge. Model consensus and recent seasonal patterns therefore concentrate probability mass in the narrow 33–35°C band, while tails (below 31°C or 37°C+) remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and the short forecast horizon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions