Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, with heavy cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Lucknow on September 7, is the main factor capping daytime highs and driving market-implied odds toward 30–31°C. Official IMD observations from recent days show maxima near or slightly below normal (around 30–32°C) amid ongoing rainfall, consistent with late-monsoon climatology where reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling limit peaks. Multiple model runs and short-range forecasts indicate 90%+ precipitation chances, which could further suppress the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh this evidence heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or above given the entrenched wet pattern. Updated IMD guidance and local observations on September 6–7 will provide the final resolution inputs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 7 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 7 de setembro?
31°C 39%
30°C 29%
29°C 17%
28°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
24°C ou menos
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
17%
30°C
29%
31°C
39%
32°C
10%
33°C
7%
34°C ou mais
5%
31°C 39%
30°C 29%
29°C 17%
28°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
24°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$20 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$17 Vol.
29%
31°C
$53 Vol.
39%
32°C
$0 Vol.
10%
33°C
$0 Vol.
7%
34°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, with heavy cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Lucknow on September 7, is the main factor capping daytime highs and driving market-implied odds toward 30–31°C. Official IMD observations from recent days show maxima near or slightly below normal (around 30–32°C) amid ongoing rainfall, consistent with late-monsoon climatology where reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling limit peaks. Multiple model runs and short-range forecasts indicate 90%+ precipitation chances, which could further suppress the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh this evidence heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or above given the entrenched wet pattern. Updated IMD guidance and local observations on September 6–7 will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$90Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, with heavy cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Lucknow on September 7, is the main factor capping daytime highs and driving market-implied odds toward 30–31°C. Official IMD observations from recent days show maxima near or slightly below normal (around 30–32°C) amid ongoing rainfall, consistent with late-monsoon climatology where reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling limit peaks. Multiple model runs and short-range forecasts indicate 90%+ precipitation chances, which could further suppress the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh this evidence heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or above given the entrenched wet pattern. Updated IMD guidance and local observations on September 6–7 will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon activity across northern India, with heavy cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Lucknow on September 7, is the main factor capping daytime highs and driving market-implied odds toward 30–31°C. Official IMD observations from recent days show maxima near or slightly below normal (around 30–32°C) amid ongoing rainfall, consistent with late-monsoon climatology where reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling limit peaks. Multiple model runs and short-range forecasts indicate 90%+ precipitation chances, which could further suppress the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh this evidence heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or above given the entrenched wet pattern. Updated IMD guidance and local observations on September 6–7 will provide the final resolution inputs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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