Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 1º de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 1º de julho?
34°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$136,479 Vol.
$136,479 Vol.
1 jul 2026
26°C ou menos
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Sim
35°C
Não
36°C ou mais
Não
34°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$136,479 Vol.
$136,479 Vol.
1 jul 2026
26°C ou menos
$14,601 Vol.
Não
27°C
$18,536 Vol.
Não
28°C
$19,716 Vol.
Não
29°C
$17,050 Vol.
Não
30°C
$14,084 Vol.
Não
31°C
$15,064 Vol.
Não
32°C
$10,072 Vol.
Não
33°C
$10,778 Vol.
Não
34°C
$6,493 Vol.
Sim
35°C
$4,959 Vol.
Não
36°C ou mais
$5,128 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$136,479Data de Término
1 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$136,479Data de Término
1 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions