PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 14 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 14 de julho?
32°C 100.0%
29°C ou menos <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$33,361 Vol.
$33,361 Vol.
14 jul 2026
29°C ou menos
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Sim
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C
Não
39°C ou mais
Não
32°C 100.0%
29°C ou menos <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$33,361 Vol.
$33,361 Vol.
14 jul 2026
29°C ou menos
$1,009 Vol.
Não
30°C
$3,279 Vol.
Não
31°C
$7,793 Vol.
Não
32°C
$8,004 Vol.
Sim
33°C
$3,920 Vol.
Não
34°C
$3,007 Vol.
Não
35°C
$3,568 Vol.
Não
36°C
$2,137 Vol.
Não
37°C
$291 Vol.
Não
38°C
$143 Vol.
Não
39°C ou mais
$210 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$33,361Data de Término
14 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,361Data de Término
14 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions