The southwest monsoon (Habagat) currently influencing western Luzon drives the closely matched market odds clustered around 31–33 °C, as increased cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms limit solar heating and surface warming. PAGASA outlooks project Metro Manila highs near 32 °C on July 19 with a 60 % rain probability, consistent with typical July conditions where monsoon moisture and convective activity suppress peaks below seasonal averages of 30–33 °C. Short-term model variability in the timing and coverage of localized storms creates the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 34 °C or higher reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies. Updated PAGASA guidance and global forecast model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum temperature market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 19 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 19 de julho?
33°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$33,627 Vol.
$33,627 Vol.
19 jul 2026
26°C ou menos
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Sim
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C ou mais
Não
33°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$33,627 Vol.
$33,627 Vol.
19 jul 2026
26°C ou menos
$210 Vol.
Não
27°C
$1,845 Vol.
Não
28°C
$2,489 Vol.
Não
29°C
$2,687 Vol.
Não
30°C
$3,948 Vol.
Não
31°C
$3,669 Vol.
Não
32°C
$5,094 Vol.
Não
33°C
$7,019 Vol.
Sim
34°C
$2,790 Vol.
Não
35°C
$1,809 Vol.
Não
36°C ou mais
$2,067 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon (Habagat) currently influencing western Luzon drives the closely matched market odds clustered around 31–33 °C, as increased cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms limit solar heating and surface warming. PAGASA outlooks project Metro Manila highs near 32 °C on July 19 with a 60 % rain probability, consistent with typical July conditions where monsoon moisture and convective activity suppress peaks below seasonal averages of 30–33 °C. Short-term model variability in the timing and coverage of localized storms creates the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 34 °C or higher reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies. Updated PAGASA guidance and global forecast model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$33,627Data de Término
19 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon (Habagat) currently influencing western Luzon drives the closely matched market odds clustered around 31–33 °C, as increased cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms limit solar heating and surface warming. PAGASA outlooks project Metro Manila highs near 32 °C on July 19 with a 60 % rain probability, consistent with typical July conditions where monsoon moisture and convective activity suppress peaks below seasonal averages of 30–33 °C. Short-term model variability in the timing and coverage of localized storms creates the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 34 °C or higher reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies. Updated PAGASA guidance and global forecast model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,627Data de Término
19 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The southwest monsoon (Habagat) currently influencing western Luzon drives the closely matched market odds clustered around 31–33 °C, as increased cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms limit solar heating and surface warming. PAGASA outlooks project Metro Manila highs near 32 °C on July 19 with a 60 % rain probability, consistent with typical July conditions where monsoon moisture and convective activity suppress peaks below seasonal averages of 30–33 °C. Short-term model variability in the timing and coverage of localized storms creates the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 34 °C or higher reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies. Updated PAGASA guidance and global forecast model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum temperature market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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