Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 7 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 7 de julho?
33°C 100.0%
29°C ou menos <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$61,675 Vol.
$61,675 Vol.
7 jul 2026
29°C ou menos
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Sim
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C
Não
39°C ou mais
Não
33°C 100.0%
29°C ou menos <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$61,675 Vol.
$61,675 Vol.
7 jul 2026
29°C ou menos
$3,374 Vol.
Não
30°C
$3,427 Vol.
Não
31°C
$3,689 Vol.
Não
32°C
$7,402 Vol.
Não
33°C
$11,838 Vol.
Sim
34°C
$10,844 Vol.
Não
35°C
$6,116 Vol.
Não
36°C
$5,143 Vol.
Não
37°C
$4,248 Vol.
Não
38°C
$2,995 Vol.
Não
39°C ou mais
$2,599 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$61,675Data de Término
7 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,675Data de Término
7 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions