Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 8 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 8 de julho?
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$38,227 Vol.
$38,227 Vol.
8 jul 2026
18°C ou menos
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Sim
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C ou mais
Não
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$38,227 Vol.
$38,227 Vol.
8 jul 2026
18°C ou menos
$2,110 Vol.
Não
19°C
$2,126 Vol.
Não
20°C
$2,612 Vol.
Não
21°C
$8,496 Vol.
Não
22°C
$4,942 Vol.
Não
23°C
$7,045 Vol.
Sim
24°C
$3,940 Vol.
Não
25°C
$1,670 Vol.
Não
26°C
$1,329 Vol.
Não
27°C
$2,063 Vol.
Não
28°C ou mais
$1,895 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volume
$38,227Data de Término
8 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,227Data de Término
8 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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