National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 87.1°F around 2 PM EDT, with subsequent hours at 86°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F bin as markets near resolution. This aligns with hourly METAR data from NOAA, the authoritative source for such measurements, amid south-southeast winds and partly cloudy skies that capped daytime heating below pre-event model forecasts of 89°F. Historical May 1 averages hover near 85°F, making this slightly above normal but short of records. Final daily climatological reports could prompt minor revisions if late-afternoon peaks emerge or quality control adjusts readings, though such changes are rare for established highs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 1º de maio?
30-31°C 100.0%
77°F ou menos <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$128,399 Vol.
$128,399 Vol.
77°F ou menos
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Sim
88-89°F
Não
32-32,7°C
Não
92-93°F
Não
94-95°F
Não
96°F ou mais
Não
30-31°C 100.0%
77°F ou menos <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$128,399 Vol.
$128,399 Vol.
77°F ou menos
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Sim
88-89°F
Não
32-32,7°C
Não
92-93°F
Não
94-95°F
Não
96°F ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 87.1°F around 2 PM EDT, with subsequent hours at 86°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F bin as markets near resolution. This aligns with hourly METAR data from NOAA, the authoritative source for such measurements, amid south-southeast winds and partly cloudy skies that capped daytime heating below pre-event model forecasts of 89°F. Historical May 1 averages hover near 85°F, making this slightly above normal but short of records. Final daily climatological reports could prompt minor revisions if late-afternoon peaks emerge or quality control adjusts readings, though such changes are rare for established highs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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