Official observational data from Milan Malpensa International Airport's weather station—the market's authoritative source—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 25°C on April 25, driving the 100% implied probability for this outcome among traders risking real capital. This peak, recorded amid clear skies under a stable North African high-pressure ridge ("Cammello"), aligned with forecast model consensus from ARPA Lombardia and national agencies predicting 24-26°C amid low wind and ample sunshine, exceeding April climatological averages of 18-19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibrations or data revisions from aviation synoptic reports, but standardized METAR protocols and preliminary validations render such shifts negligible. Market resolution awaits final hourly data release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on April 25?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$64,877 Vol.
$64,877 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$64,877 Vol.
$64,877 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 23, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official observational data from Milan Malpensa International Airport's weather station—the market's authoritative source—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 25°C on April 25, driving the 100% implied probability for this outcome among traders risking real capital. This peak, recorded amid clear skies under a stable North African high-pressure ridge ("Cammello"), aligned with forecast model consensus from ARPA Lombardia and national agencies predicting 24-26°C amid low wind and ample sunshine, exceeding April climatological averages of 18-19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibrations or data revisions from aviation synoptic reports, but standardized METAR protocols and preliminary validations render such shifts negligible. Market resolution awaits final hourly data release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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