Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a high likelihood of peak temperatures near 26°C in Milan on September 13, driving the 50% market-implied probability for that outcome. A persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, combined with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, supports gradual warming from current conditions while suppressing convective activity that could alter daily maxima. Historical September averages for the Po Valley hover around 24–25°C, providing climatological context for the slight elevation in trader consensus. Key upcoming model runs and observational updates from regional meteorological agencies will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 13 de setembro?
26°C 57%
27°C 31%
24°C 13%
25°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
19°C ou menos
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
12%
26°C
57%
27°C
31%
28°C
4%
29°C ou mais
1%
26°C 57%
27°C 31%
24°C 13%
25°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
19°C ou menos
$51 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
13%
25°C
$0 Vol.
12%
26°C
$353 Vol.
57%
27°C
$71 Vol.
31%
28°C
$45 Vol.
4%
29°C ou mais
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a high likelihood of peak temperatures near 26°C in Milan on September 13, driving the 50% market-implied probability for that outcome. A persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, combined with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, supports gradual warming from current conditions while suppressing convective activity that could alter daily maxima. Historical September averages for the Po Valley hover around 24–25°C, providing climatological context for the slight elevation in trader consensus. Key upcoming model runs and observational updates from regional meteorological agencies will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$525Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a high likelihood of peak temperatures near 26°C in Milan on September 13, driving the 50% market-implied probability for that outcome. A persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, combined with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, supports gradual warming from current conditions while suppressing convective activity that could alter daily maxima. Historical September averages for the Po Valley hover around 24–25°C, providing climatological context for the slight elevation in trader consensus. Key upcoming model runs and observational updates from regional meteorological agencies will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$525Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a high likelihood of peak temperatures near 26°C in Milan on September 13, driving the 50% market-implied probability for that outcome. A persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, combined with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, supports gradual warming from current conditions while suppressing convective activity that could alter daily maxima. Historical September averages for the Po Valley hover around 24–25°C, providing climatological context for the slight elevation in trader consensus. Key upcoming model runs and observational updates from regional meteorological agencies will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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