Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport reached exactly 9°C on April 26, backed by NOAA observational data showing peak readings amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 80%, and intermittent rain that curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcentr) had forecasted daytime highs of 6–11°C under a Baltic cyclone influence, with southerly winds and overcast skies aligning precisely with these conditions, preventing further warming after midday. Typical late-April highs average 10–12°C historically, but today's cool, moist airmass dominated. Realistic challenges would require rare post-daylight data revisions from NOAA, unlikely given consistent METAR reports stabilizing around 8–9°C through evening. Final resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 26 de abril?
9°C 100.0%
7°C ou menos <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$143,931 Vol.
$143,931 Vol.
7°C ou menos
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Sim
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C ou mais
Não
9°C 100.0%
7°C ou menos <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$143,931 Vol.
$143,931 Vol.
7°C ou menos
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Sim
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport reached exactly 9°C on April 26, backed by NOAA observational data showing peak readings amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 80%, and intermittent rain that curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcentr) had forecasted daytime highs of 6–11°C under a Baltic cyclone influence, with southerly winds and overcast skies aligning precisely with these conditions, preventing further warming after midday. Typical late-April highs average 10–12°C historically, but today's cool, moist airmass dominated. Realistic challenges would require rare post-daylight data revisions from NOAA, unlikely given consistent METAR reports stabilizing around 8–9°C through evening. Final resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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