Recent short-range model guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 13 maximum near 21–24 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on 22–24 °C. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence competes with lingering moisture and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture advection from the northwest, and the exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with successive model runs likely to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 13 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 13 de julho?
22°C 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$35,075 Vol.
$35,075 Vol.
13 jul 2026
16°C ou menos
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Sim
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C ou mais
Não
22°C 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$35,075 Vol.
$35,075 Vol.
13 jul 2026
16°C ou menos
$221 Vol.
Não
17°C
$1,054 Vol.
Não
18°C
$2,358 Vol.
Não
19°C
$3,111 Vol.
Não
20°C
$3,375 Vol.
Não
21°C
$3,848 Vol.
Não
22°C
$6,988 Vol.
Sim
23°C
$3,229 Vol.
Não
24°C
$4,601 Vol.
Não
25°C
$3,374 Vol.
Não
26°C ou mais
$2,916 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 13 maximum near 21–24 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on 22–24 °C. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence competes with lingering moisture and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture advection from the northwest, and the exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with successive model runs likely to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$35,075Data de Término
13 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 13 maximum near 21–24 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on 22–24 °C. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence competes with lingering moisture and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture advection from the northwest, and the exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with successive model runs likely to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,075Data de Término
13 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent short-range model guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 13 maximum near 21–24 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on 22–24 °C. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence competes with lingering moisture and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture advection from the northwest, and the exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with successive model runs likely to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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