Recent ensemble forecasts show Moscow maximum temperatures on July 2 clustered near 28–29°C, reflecting the market’s tight distribution across those bins. Subtle differences in model guidance arise from variable mid-level flow patterns, the strength of southerly warm-air advection, and the timing of any diurnal cloud cover or scattered convection that modulates surface heating. With climatological July highs near 25°C, the current setup favors above-average readings, yet ensemble spread and boundary-layer uncertainties keep outcomes from 27°C to 30°C in close contention. Traders will monitor the next ECMWF and GFS runs for refinements in temperature profiles ahead of the July 2 resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 2 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 2 de julho?
30°C 100.0%
24°C ou menos <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$47,264 Vol.
$47,264 Vol.
2 jul 2026
24°C ou menos
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Sim
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C ou mais
Não
30°C 100.0%
24°C ou menos <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$47,264 Vol.
$47,264 Vol.
2 jul 2026
24°C ou menos
$1,551 Vol.
Não
25°C
$615 Vol.
Não
26°C
$1,009 Vol.
Não
27°C
$2,552 Vol.
Não
28°C
$7,778 Vol.
Não
29°C
$7,993 Vol.
Não
30°C
$9,598 Vol.
Sim
31°C
$8,820 Vol.
Não
32°C
$3,589 Vol.
Não
33°C
$2,836 Vol.
Não
34°C ou mais
$922 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts show Moscow maximum temperatures on July 2 clustered near 28–29°C, reflecting the market’s tight distribution across those bins. Subtle differences in model guidance arise from variable mid-level flow patterns, the strength of southerly warm-air advection, and the timing of any diurnal cloud cover or scattered convection that modulates surface heating. With climatological July highs near 25°C, the current setup favors above-average readings, yet ensemble spread and boundary-layer uncertainties keep outcomes from 27°C to 30°C in close contention. Traders will monitor the next ECMWF and GFS runs for refinements in temperature profiles ahead of the July 2 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$47,264Data de Término
2 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts show Moscow maximum temperatures on July 2 clustered near 28–29°C, reflecting the market’s tight distribution across those bins. Subtle differences in model guidance arise from variable mid-level flow patterns, the strength of southerly warm-air advection, and the timing of any diurnal cloud cover or scattered convection that modulates surface heating. With climatological July highs near 25°C, the current setup favors above-average readings, yet ensemble spread and boundary-layer uncertainties keep outcomes from 27°C to 30°C in close contention. Traders will monitor the next ECMWF and GFS runs for refinements in temperature profiles ahead of the July 2 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,264Data de Término
2 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent ensemble forecasts show Moscow maximum temperatures on July 2 clustered near 28–29°C, reflecting the market’s tight distribution across those bins. Subtle differences in model guidance arise from variable mid-level flow patterns, the strength of southerly warm-air advection, and the timing of any diurnal cloud cover or scattered convection that modulates surface heating. With climatological July highs near 25°C, the current setup favors above-average readings, yet ensemble spread and boundary-layer uncertainties keep outcomes from 27°C to 30°C in close contention. Traders will monitor the next ECMWF and GFS runs for refinements in temperature profiles ahead of the July 2 resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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