Recent weather model consensus from sources including the German Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a high-pressure ridge favoring clear skies and light winds over southern Germany, supporting daytime maxima near 29–30 °C in Munich on August 12. This places the market-implied probabilities of 30 °C (44.5 %), 29 °C (22.5 %), and 31 °C (21.0 %) in line with ensemble guidance showing limited cloud cover and modest advection of warmer continental air. Late-summer climatology places average August highs around 23–25 °C, so the current setup reflects a modest positive anomaly driven by the absence of Atlantic fronts; any strengthening of northerly flow or increased convective cloud could cap readings at 28 °C or below, while further subsidence would allow brief excursions toward 32 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 12 de agosto?
30°C 46%
29°C 22%
31°C 17%
32°C 12%
NOVO
$13,143 Vol.
NOVO
$13,143 Vol.
12 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
22%
30°C
46%
31°C
17%
32°C
12%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
30°C 46%
29°C 22%
31°C 17%
32°C 12%
NOVO
$13,143 Vol.
NOVO
$13,143 Vol.
12 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
$739 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$723 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$991 Vol.
5%
29°C
$3,249 Vol.
22%
30°C
$2,000 Vol.
46%
31°C
$1,754 Vol.
17%
32°C
$1,468 Vol.
12%
33°C
$813 Vol.
1%
34°C
$580 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$483 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou mais
$343 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including the German Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a high-pressure ridge favoring clear skies and light winds over southern Germany, supporting daytime maxima near 29–30 °C in Munich on August 12. This places the market-implied probabilities of 30 °C (44.5 %), 29 °C (22.5 %), and 31 °C (21.0 %) in line with ensemble guidance showing limited cloud cover and modest advection of warmer continental air. Late-summer climatology places average August highs around 23–25 °C, so the current setup reflects a modest positive anomaly driven by the absence of Atlantic fronts; any strengthening of northerly flow or increased convective cloud could cap readings at 28 °C or below, while further subsidence would allow brief excursions toward 32 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$13,143Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including the German Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a high-pressure ridge favoring clear skies and light winds over southern Germany, supporting daytime maxima near 29–30 °C in Munich on August 12. This places the market-implied probabilities of 30 °C (44.5 %), 29 °C (22.5 %), and 31 °C (21.0 %) in line with ensemble guidance showing limited cloud cover and modest advection of warmer continental air. Late-summer climatology places average August highs around 23–25 °C, so the current setup reflects a modest positive anomaly driven by the absence of Atlantic fronts; any strengthening of northerly flow or increased convective cloud could cap readings at 28 °C or below, while further subsidence would allow brief excursions toward 32 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,143Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources including the German Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a high-pressure ridge favoring clear skies and light winds over southern Germany, supporting daytime maxima near 29–30 °C in Munich on August 12. This places the market-implied probabilities of 30 °C (44.5 %), 29 °C (22.5 %), and 31 °C (21.0 %) in line with ensemble guidance showing limited cloud cover and modest advection of warmer continental air. Late-summer climatology places average August highs around 23–25 °C, so the current setup reflects a modest positive anomaly driven by the absence of Atlantic fronts; any strengthening of northerly flow or increased convective cloud could cap readings at 28 °C or below, while further subsidence would allow brief excursions toward 32 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions