Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and ECMWF currently project a Munich maximum near 21–22°C on July 19 under stable high pressure with moderate northwesterly flow, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around those outcomes. This aligns with mid-July climatology of roughly 23–24°C while reflecting subdued insolation and limited warm-air advection ahead of any frontal passage. Model spread remains modest given the short lead time, yet minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or localized convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Fresh ensemble runs and observational updates through July 18 will further constrain resolution criteria tied to official DWD station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique em 19 de julho?
21°C 34%
22°C 26%
20°C 23%
19°C or below 11%
19°C or below
11%
20°C
23%
21°C
34%
22°C
26%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
21°C 34%
22°C 26%
20°C 23%
19°C or below 11%
19°C or below
11%
20°C
23%
21°C
34%
22°C
26%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and ECMWF currently project a Munich maximum near 21–22°C on July 19 under stable high pressure with moderate northwesterly flow, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around those outcomes. This aligns with mid-July climatology of roughly 23–24°C while reflecting subdued insolation and limited warm-air advection ahead of any frontal passage. Model spread remains modest given the short lead time, yet minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or localized convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Fresh ensemble runs and observational updates through July 18 will further constrain resolution criteria tied to official DWD station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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