Forecast models from European meteorological centers indicate a building heatwave across central Spain, with high-pressure subsidence and reduced cloud cover expected to drive Madrid's July 19 maximum into the mid-30s Celsius. Recent updates show temperatures climbing from mid-July baselines, consistent with the market's emphasis on 36°C and 37°C outcomes as the most probable. Ensemble guidance places the daily high near 34–37°C depending on exact steering flows and urban heat-island effects, while climatological July averages near 32°C provide context for the elevated risk. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 19 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 19 de julho?
36°C 100.0%
31°C ou menos <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$76,654 Vol.
$76,654 Vol.
19 jul 2026
31°C ou menos
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Sim
37°C
Não
38°C
Não
39°C
Não
40°C
Não
41°C ou mais
Não
36°C 100.0%
31°C ou menos <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$76,654 Vol.
$76,654 Vol.
19 jul 2026
31°C ou menos
$261 Vol.
Não
32°C
$458 Vol.
Não
33°C
$2,115 Vol.
Não
34°C
$9,049 Vol.
Não
35°C
$14,117 Vol.
Não
36°C
$21,533 Vol.
Sim
37°C
$20,964 Vol.
Não
38°C
$4,287 Vol.
Não
39°C
$1,997 Vol.
Não
40°C
$1,583 Vol.
Não
41°C ou mais
$291 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological centers indicate a building heatwave across central Spain, with high-pressure subsidence and reduced cloud cover expected to drive Madrid's July 19 maximum into the mid-30s Celsius. Recent updates show temperatures climbing from mid-July baselines, consistent with the market's emphasis on 36°C and 37°C outcomes as the most probable. Ensemble guidance places the daily high near 34–37°C depending on exact steering flows and urban heat-island effects, while climatological July averages near 32°C provide context for the elevated risk. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$76,654Data de Término
19 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological centers indicate a building heatwave across central Spain, with high-pressure subsidence and reduced cloud cover expected to drive Madrid's July 19 maximum into the mid-30s Celsius. Recent updates show temperatures climbing from mid-July baselines, consistent with the market's emphasis on 36°C and 37°C outcomes as the most probable. Ensemble guidance places the daily high near 34–37°C depending on exact steering flows and urban heat-island effects, while climatological July averages near 32°C provide context for the elevated risk. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76,654Data de Término
19 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Forecast models from European meteorological centers indicate a building heatwave across central Spain, with high-pressure subsidence and reduced cloud cover expected to drive Madrid's July 19 maximum into the mid-30s Celsius. Recent updates show temperatures climbing from mid-July baselines, consistent with the market's emphasis on 36°C and 37°C outcomes as the most probable. Ensemble guidance places the daily high near 34–37°C depending on exact steering flows and urban heat-island effects, while climatological July averages near 32°C provide context for the elevated risk. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine land-surface and boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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