Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 24°C high in Qingdao today at the Jiaodong International Airport station, reflecting finalized China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS that pinpoint peak daytime heating at 24°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This follows a weak cold front on May 2–3 that capped highs at 18–20°C amid showers, now yielding to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and seasonal early-May norms (historical averages 20–23°C), with Yellow Sea moderation preventing extremes. Real-time observations through midday confirm the trajectory, though late-day sea breeze intensification or enhanced mixing could nudge it to 23°C or 25°C; Wunderground's daily record will finalize resolution amid typical short-range uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 4 de maio?
24°C 100.0%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$32,174 Vol.
$32,174 Vol.
19°C ou menos
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Sim
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C ou mais
Não
24°C 100.0%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$32,174 Vol.
$32,174 Vol.
19°C ou menos
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Sim
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 24°C high in Qingdao today at the Jiaodong International Airport station, reflecting finalized China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS that pinpoint peak daytime heating at 24°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This follows a weak cold front on May 2–3 that capped highs at 18–20°C amid showers, now yielding to mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and seasonal early-May norms (historical averages 20–23°C), with Yellow Sea moderation preventing extremes. Real-time observations through midday confirm the trajectory, though late-day sea breeze intensification or enhanced mixing could nudge it to 23°C or 25°C; Wunderground's daily record will finalize resolution amid typical short-range uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions